Scouting Report
Dominic Moore holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Moore on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 48.3% vs Moore 54.4% (-6.2%)
H2H factor
Moore leads 12-7 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Nelson 81.3%
Defensive zone
Moore 55.9%
Neutral zone
Nelson 67.1%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 63.6%
63.6%
36.4%
Nelson
Moore
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
12
(19 meetings)
7
12
Nelson
Moore
Last 10: Nelson 4-6 Moore
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
3
2
Nelson
Moore
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Moore
2
4
Nelson
Moore
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Moore
2
6
Nelson
Moore
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Moore
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (9,695)
55.8% (4,121)
-7.9%
Power Play
54.5% (1,132)
55.9% (136)
-1.4%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (783)
48.7% (982)
-4.9%
On even strength, Moore has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Moore shoots left. Nelson is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (7,533).
Nelson shoots left. Moore is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (3,364).
Home / Away
Nelson
Moore
Home
50.0% (5,845)
55.3% (2,409)
Away
46.5% (5,766)
53.8% (2,843)
By Period
Nelson
Moore
P1
48.7%
53.7%
P2
48.5%
54.2%
P3
47.7%
55.3%
OT
45.6%
69.4%
Final 5 min
47.8%
54.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
48.3%
Moore
62.0%▲
56.5%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2018 | 3 | 19:31 | Neutral | Dominic Moore |
| Jan 31, 2018 | 3 | 13:46 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 16, 2017 | 3 | 12:00 | Neutral | Dominic Moore |
| Dec 20, 2016 | 3 | 03:04 | Neutral | Dominic Moore |
| Dec 20, 2016 | 3 | 02:04 | Defensive | Dominic Moore |
| Apr 7, 2016 | 3 | 12:25 | Defensive | Dominic Moore |
| Jan 14, 2016 | 1 | 16:52 | Neutral | Dominic Moore |
| Jan 14, 2016 | 1 | 10:07 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 10, 2015 | 2 | 12:41 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 10, 2015 | 1 | 05:54 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 16, 2015 | 3 | 08:30 | Neutral | Dominic Moore |
| Jan 27, 2015 | 3 | 11:04 | Offensive | Dominic Moore |
| Jan 27, 2015 | 1 | 07:08 | Defensive | Dominic Moore |
| Jan 13, 2015 | 3 | 04:27 | Defensive | Dominic Moore |
| Jan 31, 2014 | 3 | 08:47 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 31, 2014 | 3 | 04:28 | Neutral | Dominic Moore |
| Jan 29, 2014 | 2 | 18:03 | Offensive | Dominic Moore |
| Jan 29, 2014 | 1 | 18:56 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 21, 2014 | 2 | 12:07 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |