Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 49.4% vs McKegg 46.9% (+4.4%)
Offensive zone
Nelson 59.3%
Defensive zone
McKegg 58.3%
Neutral zone
Nelson 53.5%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 51.5%
51.5%
48.5%
Nelson
McKegg
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
McKegg
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (840)
45.9% (146)
+4.0%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (35)
35.7% (14)
-7.1%
On penalty kill, McKegg has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McKegg shoots left. Nelson is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (646).
Nelson shoots left. McKegg is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (103).
Home / Away
Nelson
McKegg
Home
49.8% (458)
45.3% (64)
Away
49.0% (506)
44.8% (96)
By Period
Nelson
McKegg
P1
50.1%
48.1%
P2
45.4%
50.0%
P3
52.7%
37.9%
Final 5 min
47.1%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
49.4%
McKegg
40.0%▼
48.0%
45.0%