Scouting Report
Jacob Josefson holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Josefson on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Nelson wins 46.4% vs left-shot opponents — Josefson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 44.9% vs Josefson 49.4% (-5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 54.6%
Defensive zone
Nelson 57.0%
Neutral zone
Nelson 56.8%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 56.4%
56.4%
43.6%
Nelson
Josefson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Nelson
Josefson
Last 6: Nelson 1-5 Josefson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
1
0
Nelson
Josefson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Josefson
0
1
Nelson
Josefson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Josefson
0
4
Nelson
Josefson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Josefson
Edge
Even Strength
43.9% (715)
48.8% (465)
-4.9%
Power Play
61.5% (26)
47.8% (23)
+13.7%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (58)
52.0% (98)
-10.6%
On power play, Nelson has a +13.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Josefson shoots left. Nelson is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (504).
Nelson shoots left. Josefson is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (365).
Home / Away
Nelson
Josefson
Home
42.9% (406)
52.6% (268)
Away
45.8% (393)
46.5% (318)
By Period
Nelson
Josefson
P1
44.1%
44.6%
P2
47.2%
51.2%
P3
42.2%
52.2%
OT
30.8%
100.0%
Final 5 min
39.9%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
44.3%
Josefson
42.0%▼
44.0%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2014 | 3 | 15:44 | Neutral | Jacob Josefson |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 3 | 15:36 | Neutral | Jacob Josefson |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 3 | 12:06 | Neutral | Jacob Josefson |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 3 | 00:46 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 2 | 01:19 | Defensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 1 | 06:32 | Neutral | Jacob Josefson |