Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.3% vs 48.8%). Look for Josefson on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 48.3% vs Josefson 48.8% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Josefson leads 17-13 in 30 meetings
Offensive zone
Nelson 58.1%
Defensive zone
Josefson 65.8%
Neutral zone
Josefson 56.1%
Result
Jacob Josefson favored at 54.4%
45.6%
54.4%
Nelson
Josefson
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
17
(30 meetings)
13
17
Nelson
Josefson
Last 10: Nelson 5-5 Josefson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Josefson
1
6
Nelson
Josefson
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Josefson
2
3
Nelson
Josefson
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nelson
10
8
Nelson
Josefson
18 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Josefson
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (9,695)
48.8% (2,339)
-0.9%
Power Play
54.5% (1,132)
51.9% (185)
+2.6%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (783)
45.8% (312)
-2.0%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Josefson shoots left. Nelson is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (7,533).
Nelson shoots left. Josefson is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,888).
Home / Away
Nelson
Josefson
Home
50.0% (5,845)
50.5% (1,517)
Away
46.5% (5,766)
46.8% (1,329)
By Period
Nelson
Josefson
P1
48.7%
46.4%
P2
48.5%
50.1%
P3
47.7%
49.8%
OT
45.6%
37.5%
Final 5 min
47.8%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
48.3%
Josefson
42.0%▼
44.0%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2018 | 3 | 02:42 | Offensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Feb 8, 2018 | 2 | 05:52 | Neutral | Jacob Josefson |
| Feb 8, 2018 | 2 | 05:45 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 27, 2017 | 2 | 01:32 | Defensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Dec 27, 2017 | 1 | 09:26 | Offensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 3 | 19:34 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 3 | 14:20 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 3 | 10:05 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 2 | 12:33 | Defensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 1 | 01:55 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 1 | 01:50 | Neutral | Jacob Josefson |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 3 | 18:33 | Offensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 3 | 05:00 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 2 | 01:48 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 18, 2017 | 3 | 08:58 | Neutral | Jacob Josefson |
| Feb 18, 2017 | 3 | 06:21 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 18, 2017 | 3 | 03:49 | Neutral | Jacob Josefson |
| Feb 18, 2017 | 3 | 00:48 | Offensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Feb 18, 2017 | 2 | 00:31 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 19, 2016 | 1 | 03:40 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |