Brock Nelson vs Jason Spezza

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Jason Spezza holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Nelson wins 47.0% vs right-shot opponents — Spezza shoots right.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Nelson 48.3% vs Spezza 54.7% (-6.4%)
H2H factor Spezza leads 13-5 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone Nelson 86.2%
Defensive zone Nelson 74.0%
Neutral zone Nelson 74.3%
Result Brock Nelson favored at 78.8%
78.8%
21.2%
Nelson Spezza
Head-to-Head Record
5 - 13 (18 meetings)
5
13
Nelson Spezza
Last 10: Nelson 4-6 Spezza

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
1
6
Nelson Spezza
7 total
Defensive Zone
Even
4
4
Nelson Spezza
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
0
3
Nelson Spezza
3 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Nelson
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (9,695)
54.4% (7,990)
-6.5%
Power Play
54.5% (1,132)
56.8% (1,726)
-2.3%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (783)
52.7% (643)
-8.9%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +8.9% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Spezza shoots right. Nelson is 47.0% vs right-shot opponents (4,075).
Nelson shoots left. Spezza is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,310).
Home / Away
Nelson
Spezza
Home
50.0% (5,845)
56.8% (5,066)
Away
46.5% (5,766)
52.7% (5,332)
By Period
Nelson
Spezza
P1
48.7%
55.7%
P2
48.5%
54.4%
P3
47.7%
54.1%
OT
45.6%
51.5%
Final 5 min
47.8%
54.2%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%
54.0%
48.3%
Spezza
46.0%
48.5%
54.7%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Jan 22, 2022 1 09:53 Offensive Jason Spezza
Jan 4, 2020 3 15:51 Defensive Brock Nelson
Dec 23, 2018 3 08:11 Defensive Jason Spezza
Dec 23, 2018 3 03:43 Defensive Jason Spezza
Nov 18, 2018 1 17:51 Defensive Brock Nelson
Dec 13, 2017 1 15:24 Offensive Brock Nelson
Dec 13, 2017 1 10:51 Defensive Brock Nelson
Mar 2, 2017 3 19:21 Offensive Jason Spezza
Mar 2, 2017 3 01:59 Defensive Jason Spezza
Mar 2, 2017 2 00:00 Neutral Jason Spezza
Mar 2, 2017 2 00:10 Offensive Jason Spezza
Mar 2, 2017 1 00:00 Neutral Jason Spezza
Jan 19, 2017 3 18:50 Offensive Jason Spezza
Mar 3, 2015 2 11:07 Offensive Jason Spezza
Mar 3, 2015 1 08:04 Defensive Jason Spezza
Oct 25, 2014 3 06:31 Defensive Brock Nelson
Oct 25, 2014 3 02:32 Neutral Jason Spezza
Oct 25, 2014 1 11:58 Offensive Jason Spezza