Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 49.4% vs Spezza 52.4% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 50.7%
Defensive zone
Nelson 50.9%
Neutral zone
Nelson 55.1%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 50.7%
49.3%
50.7%
Nelson
Spezza
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Nelson
Spezza
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
0
1
Nelson
Spezza
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (840)
53.7% (451)
-3.8%
Power Play
52.8% (89)
54.3% (92)
-1.5%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (35)
38.2% (34)
-9.6%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. Nelson is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (318).
Nelson shoots left. Spezza is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (409).
Home / Away
Nelson
Spezza
Home
49.8% (458)
55.0% (282)
Away
49.0% (506)
50.8% (295)
By Period
Nelson
Spezza
P1
50.1%
53.1%
P2
45.4%
53.2%
P3
52.7%
52.3%
Final 5 min
47.1%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
49.4%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2022 | 1 | 09:53 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |