Scouting Report
Matt Stajan holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 48.5% vs Stajan 51.2% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 69.6%
Defensive zone
Stajan 67.3%
Neutral zone
Stajan 59.2%
Result
Matt Stajan favored at 50.9%
49.1%
50.9%
Nelson
Stajan
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Nelson
Stajan
Last 5: Nelson 4-1 Stajan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
2
0
Nelson
Stajan
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
2
0
Nelson
Stajan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stajan
0
1
Nelson
Stajan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Stajan
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (681)
52.2% (395)
-4.2%
Power Play
54.0% (87)
60.0% (5)
-6.0%
Penalty Kill
40.5% (37)
47.6% (82)
-7.1%
On penalty kill, Stajan has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stajan shoots left. Nelson is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (555).
Nelson shoots left. Stajan is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (289).
Home / Away
Nelson
Stajan
Home
51.1% (399)
50.8% (238)
Away
45.6% (406)
52.0% (244)
By Period
Nelson
Stajan
P1
51.8%
56.3%
P2
47.5%
48.8%
P3
46.5%
49.4%
Final 5 min
51.1%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
48.3%
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2018 | 2 | 16:36 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 11, 2018 | 1 | 11:10 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 11, 2018 | 3 | 14:37 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Feb 11, 2018 | 3 | 03:15 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 11, 2018 | 2 | 19:55 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |