Scouting Report
Max McCormick holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for McCormick on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 48.4% vs McCormick 50.6% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McCormick 50.5%
Defensive zone
Nelson 50.6%
Neutral zone
Nelson 55.4%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 54.0%
54.0%
46.0%
Nelson
McCormick
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Nelson
McCormick
Last 7: Nelson 3-4 McCormick
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Nelson
McCormick
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCormick
2
3
Nelson
McCormick
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
McCormick
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (347)
52.0% (75)
-2.4%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (17)
0.0% (1)
+52.9%
On penalty kill, Nelson has a +52.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCormick shoots left. Nelson is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (264).
Nelson shoots left. McCormick is 41.3% vs left-shot opponents (46).
Home / Away
Nelson
McCormick
Home
52.9% (210)
40.5% (42)
Away
42.1% (178)
64.7% (34)
By Period
Nelson
McCormick
P1
43.9%
58.1%
P2
48.1%
36.0%
P3
53.1%
60.0%
Final 5 min
42.7%
46.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
47.9%
McCormick
54.0%▲
51.6%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2016 | 3 | 17:26 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 22, 2016 | 3 | 17:17 | Neutral | Max McCormick |
| Jan 22, 2016 | 3 | 17:08 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 22, 2016 | 3 | 14:00 | Neutral | Max McCormick |
| Jan 22, 2016 | 3 | 02:58 | Neutral | Max McCormick |
| Jan 22, 2016 | 2 | 04:50 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 22, 2016 | 1 | 13:43 | Defensive | Max McCormick |