Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.4% vs 50.0%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 49.4% vs McCormick 50.0% (-0.6%)
Offensive zone
Nelson 62.0%
Defensive zone
Nelson 61.8%
Neutral zone
Nelson 58.2%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 60.6%
60.6%
39.4%
Nelson
McCormick
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
McCormick
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (840)
50.0% (4)
-0.1%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCormick shoots left. Nelson is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (646).
Nelson shoots left. McCormick is 0.0% vs left-shot opponents (2).
Home / Away
Nelson
McCormick
Home
49.8% (458)
0.0% (1)
Away
49.0% (506)
66.7% (3)
By Period
Nelson
McCormick
P1
50.1%
66.7%
P2
45.4%
0.0%
Final 5 min
47.1%
0.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
49.4%
McCormick
54.0%▲
51.6%
50.0%