Brock Nelson vs Michael Sgarbossa
2016-17 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (43.7% vs 43.9%). Look for Nelson on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Nelson wins 46.7% vs left-shot opponents — Sgarbossa shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 44.4% vs Sgarbossa 45.4% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sgarbossa 61.2%
Defensive zone
Nelson 51.4%
Neutral zone
Sgarbossa 50.7%
Result
Michael Sgarbossa favored at 53.4%
46.6%
53.4%
Nelson
Sgarbossa
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Nelson
Sgarbossa
Last 7: Nelson 3-4 Sgarbossa
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sgarbossa
0
2
Nelson
Sgarbossa
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sgarbossa
0
1
Nelson
Sgarbossa
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nelson
3
1
Nelson
Sgarbossa
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Sgarbossa
Edge
Even Strength
43.0% (688)
43.9% (296)
-0.9%
Power Play
54.8% (42)
53.3% (15)
+1.5%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (61)
0.0% (3)
+44.3%
On penalty kill, Nelson has a +44.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sgarbossa shoots left. Nelson is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (505).
Nelson shoots left. Sgarbossa is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (211).
Home / Away
Nelson
Sgarbossa
Home
41.9% (391)
44.3% (185)
Away
45.5% (400)
43.4% (129)
By Period
Nelson
Sgarbossa
P1
47.1%
43.2%
P2
43.0%
49.1%
P3
40.9%
39.6%
OT
63.6%
0.0%
Final 5 min
43.6%
37.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
43.7%
Sgarbossa
46.0%▼
50.0%
43.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 13, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 11, 2017 | 3 | 09:00 | Neutral | Michael Sgarbossa |
| Jan 11, 2017 | 2 | 14:51 | Offensive | Michael Sgarbossa |
| Jan 11, 2017 | 1 | 11:31 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 11, 2017 | 1 | 09:22 | Offensive | Michael Sgarbossa |
| Jan 11, 2017 | 1 | 01:31 | Defensive | Michael Sgarbossa |