Brock Nelson vs Michael Sgarbossa
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.2% vs 46.0%). Nelson wins 46.1% vs left-shot opponents — Sgarbossa shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 45.8% vs Sgarbossa 47.8% (-0.8%)
Offensive zone
Nelson 73.8%
Defensive zone
Sgarbossa 56.4%
Neutral zone
Sgarbossa 56.0%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 53.8%
53.8%
46.2%
Nelson
Sgarbossa
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Sgarbossa
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (735)
44.6% (121)
+1.5%
Power Play
34.5% (29)
66.7% (3)
-32.2%
Penalty Kill
30.4% (23)
100.0% (2)
-69.6%
On penalty kill, Sgarbossa has a +69.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sgarbossa shoots left. Nelson is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (547).
Nelson shoots left. Sgarbossa is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (89).
Home / Away
Nelson
Sgarbossa
Home
48.7% (419)
41.1% (56)
Away
41.3% (368)
50.0% (70)
By Period
Nelson
Sgarbossa
P1
44.6%
38.5%
P2
47.3%
47.7%
P3
43.0%
48.2%
Final 5 min
39.4%
41.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
45.2%
Sgarbossa
46.0%▼
50.0%
46.0%