Scouting Report
Mike Richards holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Richards on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 48.3% vs Richards 50.5% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Richards leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Nelson 58.9%
Defensive zone
Nelson 55.5%
Neutral zone
Nelson 58.8%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 57.8%
57.8%
42.2%
Nelson
Richards
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
8
(10 meetings)
2
8
Nelson
Richards
Last 10: Nelson 2-8 Richards
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richards
1
3
Nelson
Richards
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Richards
0
3
Nelson
Richards
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richards
1
2
Nelson
Richards
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Richards
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (9,695)
50.0% (3,722)
-2.1%
Power Play
54.5% (1,132)
54.6% (445)
-0.1%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (783)
51.4% (502)
-7.6%
On penalty kill, Richards has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Richards shoots left. Nelson is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (7,533).
Nelson shoots left. Richards is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,122).
Home / Away
Nelson
Richards
Home
50.0% (5,845)
50.8% (2,363)
Away
46.5% (5,766)
50.3% (2,336)
By Period
Nelson
Richards
P1
48.7%
49.6%
P2
48.5%
52.3%
P3
47.7%
49.3%
OT
45.6%
58.0%
Final 5 min
47.8%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
48.3%
Richards
58.0%▲
48.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2016 | 2 | 00:58 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Feb 18, 2016 | 3 | 19:33 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 18, 2016 | 2 | 12:42 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Feb 4, 2016 | 3 | 15:09 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Feb 4, 2016 | 3 | 08:17 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Feb 4, 2016 | 1 | 07:28 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 4, 2016 | 1 | 05:08 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Feb 4, 2016 | 1 | 01:55 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Nov 6, 2014 | 3 | 18:58 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Dec 7, 2013 | 2 | 07:44 | Defensive | Mike Richards |