Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 48.4% vs Koivu 55.8% (-8.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Koivu 85.4%
Defensive zone
Koivu 65.9%
Neutral zone
Koivu 77.1%
Result
Mikko Koivu favored at 71.9%
28.1%
71.9%
Nelson
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Nelson
Koivu
Last 7: Nelson 5-2 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
1
0
Nelson
Koivu
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Nelson
Koivu
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nelson
2
0
Nelson
Koivu
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (347)
56.6% (1,247)
-7.0%
Power Play
20.8% (24)
61.6% (344)
-40.8%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (17)
41.3% (167)
+11.6%
On power play, Koivu has a +40.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Nelson is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (264).
Nelson shoots left. Koivu is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,142).
Home / Away
Nelson
Koivu
Home
52.9% (210)
58.1% (850)
Away
42.1% (178)
54.3% (908)
By Period
Nelson
Koivu
P1
43.9%
55.3%
P2
48.1%
57.2%
P3
53.1%
55.1%
OT
40.0%
77.3%
Final 5 min
42.7%
57.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
46.0%▬
46.0%
47.9%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2016 | 3 | 03:16 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 23, 2016 | 2 | 09:35 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 23, 2016 | 1 | 18:42 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 23, 2016 | 1 | 15:03 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Feb 2, 2016 | 3 | 11:19 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Feb 2, 2016 | 3 | 04:52 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 2, 2016 | 3 | 02:49 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |