Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Nelson on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 48.5% vs Koivu 51.3% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Nelson leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Nelson 55.0%
Defensive zone
Koivu 64.5%
Neutral zone
Koivu 54.8%
Result
Mikko Koivu favored at 51.2%
48.8%
51.2%
Nelson
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
3
(11 meetings)
8
3
Nelson
Koivu
Last 10: Nelson 8-2 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
5
0
Nelson
Koivu
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
1
Nelson
Koivu
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nelson
3
2
Nelson
Koivu
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (681)
50.7% (1,073)
-2.7%
Power Play
54.0% (87)
65.3% (216)
-11.3%
Penalty Kill
40.5% (37)
43.4% (286)
-2.9%
On power play, Koivu has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Nelson is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (555).
Nelson shoots left. Koivu is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (981).
Home / Away
Nelson
Koivu
Home
51.1% (399)
50.9% (752)
Away
45.6% (406)
51.8% (823)
By Period
Nelson
Koivu
P1
51.8%
51.9%
P2
47.5%
50.3%
P3
46.5%
51.4%
OT
20.0%
70.0%
Final 5 min
51.1%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
48.3%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2018 | 3 | 15:22 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 19, 2018 | 3 | 15:15 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 19, 2018 | 2 | 10:51 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 19, 2018 | 2 | 10:43 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 19, 2018 | 2 | 06:35 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 19, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Feb 19, 2018 | 1 | 18:04 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 19, 2018 | 1 | 17:55 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Feb 19, 2018 | 1 | 11:57 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 26, 2017 | 2 | 19:34 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 26, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |