Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Cousins on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 48.3% vs Cousins 45.2% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Nelson leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Nelson 60.1%
Defensive zone
Nelson 72.4%
Neutral zone
Nelson 60.6%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 65.4%
65.4%
34.6%
Nelson
Cousins
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
5
(12 meetings)
7
5
Nelson
Cousins
Last 10: Nelson 7-3 Cousins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
2
0
Nelson
Cousins
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cousins
2
3
Nelson
Cousins
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nelson
3
2
Nelson
Cousins
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Cousins
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (9,695)
44.9% (1,508)
+3.0%
Power Play
54.5% (1,132)
44.6% (101)
+9.9%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (783)
42.9% (7)
+0.9%
On power play, Nelson has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cousins shoots left. Nelson is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (7,533).
Nelson shoots left. Cousins is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,033).
Home / Away
Nelson
Cousins
Home
50.0% (5,845)
46.7% (809)
Away
46.5% (5,766)
43.0% (807)
By Period
Nelson
Cousins
P1
48.7%
47.5%
P2
48.5%
43.6%
P3
47.7%
43.6%
OT
45.6%
0.0%
Final 5 min
47.8%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
48.3%
Cousins
50.0%▲
48.0%
44.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2023 | 1 | 17:03 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 23, 2022 | 3 | 10:55 | Defensive | Nick Cousins |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 1 | 03:30 | Defensive | Nick Cousins |
| Oct 24, 2017 | 3 | 01:59 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 24, 2017 | 2 | 02:23 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Apr 10, 2016 | 3 | 05:50 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Apr 10, 2016 | 2 | 06:38 | Neutral | Nick Cousins |
| Mar 21, 2016 | 3 | 08:08 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 21, 2016 | 1 | 10:39 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 21, 2016 | 1 | 03:27 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 21, 2016 | 1 | 03:20 | Defensive | Nick Cousins |
| Apr 7, 2015 | 3 | 02:20 | Neutral | Nick Cousins |