Scouting Report
Nick Cousins holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Nelson wins 46.1% vs left-shot opponents — Cousins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 45.8% vs Cousins 50.8% (-7.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cousins 62.3%
Defensive zone
Nelson 51.5%
Neutral zone
Nelson 52.2%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 52.2%
52.2%
47.8%
Nelson
Cousins
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Nelson
Cousins
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nelson
1
0
Nelson
Cousins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Cousins
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (735)
56.7% (30)
-10.6%
Power Play
34.5% (29)
0.0% (1)
+34.5%
Penalty Kill
30.4% (23)
0.0% (1)
+30.4%
On power play, Nelson has a +34.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cousins shoots left. Nelson is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (547).
Nelson shoots left. Cousins is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (21).
Home / Away
Nelson
Cousins
Home
48.7% (419)
45.5% (11)
Away
41.3% (368)
57.1% (21)
By Period
Nelson
Cousins
P1
44.6%
55.6%
P2
47.3%
55.6%
P3
43.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
39.4%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
45.2%
Cousins
50.0%▲
48.0%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2023 | 1 | 17:03 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |