Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.6% vs 51.0%). Look for Nelson on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 50.6% vs Laba 50.8% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 61.7%
Defensive zone
Nelson 52.4%
Neutral zone
Nelson 55.1%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 58.5%
58.5%
41.5%
Nelson
Laba
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Nelson
Laba
Last 5: Nelson 3-2 Laba
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
2
1
Nelson
Laba
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Laba
0
1
Nelson
Laba
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nelson
1
0
Nelson
Laba
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Laba
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (879)
50.8% (510)
-0.1%
Power Play
58.6% (162)
47.6% (21)
+11.0%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (198)
55.9% (34)
-12.5%
On penalty kill, Laba has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Laba shoots right. Nelson is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (433).
Nelson shoots left. Laba is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (406).
Home / Away
Nelson
Laba
Home
52.3% (621)
50.6% (261)
Away
48.9% (618)
51.3% (304)
By Period
Nelson
Laba
P1
48.4%
55.1%
P2
53.5%
46.0%
P3
50.3%
51.8%
OT
41.2%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.8%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
50.6%
Laba
44.0%▼
49.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | OT | 01:38 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 07:53 | Defensive | Noah Laba |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 01:00 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 08:49 | Offensive | Noah Laba |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 3 | 17:41 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |