Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Gomez on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 48.4% vs Gomez 46.4% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 51.0%
Defensive zone
Nelson 67.7%
Neutral zone
Nelson 56.8%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 57.4%
57.4%
42.6%
Nelson
Gomez
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Nelson
Gomez
Last 7: Nelson 4-3 Gomez
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gomez
0
3
Nelson
Gomez
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
2
0
Nelson
Gomez
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nelson
2
0
Nelson
Gomez
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Gomez
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (347)
45.9% (255)
+3.7%
Power Play
20.8% (24)
38.1% (21)
-17.3%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (17)
0.0% (1)
+52.9%
On penalty kill, Nelson has a +52.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gomez shoots left. Nelson is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (264).
Nelson shoots left. Gomez is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (168).
Home / Away
Nelson
Gomez
Home
52.9% (210)
48.9% (131)
Away
42.1% (178)
41.8% (146)
By Period
Nelson
Gomez
P1
43.9%
41.6%
P2
48.1%
48.6%
P3
53.1%
44.9%
OT
40.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
42.7%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
47.9%
Gomez
52.0%▲
46.5%
45.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2016 | 3 | 03:28 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 23, 2016 | 2 | 14:36 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 23, 2016 | 2 | 14:28 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 23, 2016 | 1 | 16:12 | Offensive | Scott Gomez |
| Mar 23, 2016 | 1 | 16:08 | Offensive | Scott Gomez |
| Mar 23, 2016 | 1 | 07:43 | Offensive | Scott Gomez |
| Mar 23, 2016 | 1 | 05:57 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |