Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.3% vs 48.1%). Look for Gomez on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 48.3% vs Gomez 48.2% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Nelson leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Gomez 54.2%
Defensive zone
Nelson 67.7%
Neutral zone
Nelson 55.8%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 57.3%
57.3%
42.7%
Nelson
Gomez
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
5
(12 meetings)
7
5
Nelson
Gomez
Last 10: Nelson 6-4 Gomez
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gomez
0
3
Nelson
Gomez
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
3
1
Nelson
Gomez
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nelson
4
1
Nelson
Gomez
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Gomez
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (9,695)
47.9% (2,814)
+0.0%
Power Play
54.5% (1,132)
50.6% (516)
+3.9%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (783)
36.5% (74)
+7.3%
On penalty kill, Nelson has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gomez shoots left. Nelson is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (7,533).
Nelson shoots left. Gomez is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,196).
Home / Away
Nelson
Gomez
Home
50.0% (5,845)
49.8% (1,767)
Away
46.5% (5,766)
46.3% (1,667)
By Period
Nelson
Gomez
P1
48.7%
48.6%
P2
48.5%
48.2%
P3
47.7%
47.5%
OT
45.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.8%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
48.3%
Gomez
52.0%▲
46.5%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2016 | 3 | 03:28 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 23, 2016 | 2 | 14:36 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 23, 2016 | 2 | 14:28 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 23, 2016 | 1 | 16:12 | Offensive | Scott Gomez |
| Mar 23, 2016 | 1 | 16:08 | Offensive | Scott Gomez |
| Mar 23, 2016 | 1 | 07:43 | Offensive | Scott Gomez |
| Mar 23, 2016 | 1 | 05:57 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 9, 2015 | OT | 01:20 | Defensive | Scott Gomez |
| Jan 9, 2015 | 3 | 04:48 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 9, 2015 | 2 | 11:57 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 9, 2015 | 2 | 02:16 | Neutral | Scott Gomez |
| Apr 1, 2014 | 2 | 05:11 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |