Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 50.6% vs Noesen 49.6% (+2.1%)
Offensive zone
Noesen 58.7%
Defensive zone
Nelson 69.8%
Neutral zone
Nelson 57.0%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 56.0%
56.0%
44.0%
Nelson
Noesen
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Noesen
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (879)
64.3% (14)
-13.6%
Power Play
58.6% (162)
36.8% (19)
+21.8%
On power play, Nelson has a +21.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Noesen shoots right. Nelson is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (433).
Nelson shoots left. Noesen is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (24).
Home / Away
Nelson
Noesen
Home
52.3% (621)
42.9% (14)
Away
48.9% (618)
52.6% (19)
By Period
Nelson
Noesen
P1
48.4%
35.7%
P2
53.5%
50.0%
P3
50.3%
80.0%
Final 5 min
50.8%
33.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
50.6%
Noesen
46.0%▼
47.5%
48.5%