Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 49.4% vs Bozak 46.2% (+4.2%)
Offensive zone
Nelson 71.0%
Defensive zone
Bozak 64.0%
Neutral zone
Nelson 50.5%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 52.5%
52.5%
47.5%
Nelson
Bozak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (840)
46.7% (338)
+3.2%
Power Play
52.8% (89)
50.0% (6)
+2.8%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (35)
32.6% (43)
-4.0%
On penalty kill, Bozak has a +4.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Nelson is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (318).
Nelson shoots left. Bozak is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (247).
Home / Away
Nelson
Bozak
Home
49.8% (458)
47.9% (194)
Away
49.0% (506)
42.5% (193)
By Period
Nelson
Bozak
P1
50.1%
40.2%
P2
45.4%
51.4%
P3
52.7%
43.1%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.1%
43.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
49.4%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
45.2%