Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.7% vs 47.4%). Look for Rask on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 47.8% vs Rask 47.9% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rask 55.1%
Defensive zone
Nelson 54.6%
Neutral zone
Rask 50.1%
Result
Victor Rask favored at 50.1%
49.9%
50.1%
Nelson
Rask
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Nelson
Rask
Last 7: Nelson 2-5 Rask
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
1
0
Nelson
Rask
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
1
0
Nelson
Rask
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rask
0
5
Nelson
Rask
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Rask
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (1,020)
46.6% (397)
+0.8%
Power Play
51.5% (163)
58.1% (31)
-6.6%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (63)
50.0% (2)
-7.1%
On penalty kill, Rask has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rask shoots left. Nelson is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (821).
Nelson shoots left. Rask is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (287).
Home / Away
Nelson
Rask
Home
51.0% (641)
50.0% (202)
Away
44.1% (605)
45.2% (228)
By Period
Nelson
Rask
P1
48.2%
51.1%
P2
48.1%
43.2%
P3
46.9%
48.5%
Final 5 min
44.6%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
47.7%
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Feb 10, 2019 | 1 | 12:33 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Jan 8, 2019 | 3 | 18:53 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Jan 8, 2019 | 3 | 18:42 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 8, 2019 | 2 | 02:40 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Nov 24, 2018 | 3 | 17:26 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 24, 2018 | 1 | 08:21 | Neutral | Victor Rask |