Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Stepan on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Laich wins 43.3% vs right-shot opponents — Stepan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Laich 45.2% vs Stepan 45.5% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stepan 66.4%
Defensive zone
Laich 71.6%
Neutral zone
Laich 57.1%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 56.1%
43.9%
56.1%
Laich
Stepan
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Laich
Stepan
Last 6: Laich 1-5 Stepan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
1
3
Laich
Stepan
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
0
1
Laich
Stepan
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stepan
0
1
Laich
Stepan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Laich
Stepan
Edge
Even Strength
41.9% (279)
43.8% (1,141)
-1.9%
Power Play
65.8% (38)
52.2% (253)
+13.6%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (143)
43.2% (118)
-0.5%
On power play, Laich has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stepan shoots right. Laich is 43.3% vs right-shot opponents (187).
Laich shoots left. Stepan is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,028).
Home / Away
Laich
Stepan
Home
46.9% (207)
47.8% (828)
Away
41.9% (253)
42.0% (684)
By Period
Laich
Stepan
P1
39.4%
49.5%
P2
43.2%
42.0%
P3
49.0%
44.3%
OT
50.0%
41.2%
Final 5 min
35.0%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Laich
48.0%▲
44.5%
44.1%
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2014 | 2 | 16:49 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 19, 2014 | 1 | 19:21 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 19, 2014 | 1 | 12:17 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 16, 2013 | 3 | 19:00 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 16, 2013 | 3 | 08:22 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 16, 2013 | 1 | 12:36 | Offensive | Brooks Laich |