Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.0% vs 46.5%). Look for Laich on defensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings). Laich wins 46.2% vs right-shot opponents — Stepan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Laich 47.1% vs Stepan 46.6% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Laich leads 20-18 in 38 meetings
Offensive zone
Stepan 65.0%
Defensive zone
Laich 62.4%
Neutral zone
Laich 52.0%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 51.4%
48.6%
51.4%
Laich
Stepan
Head-to-Head Record
20
-
18
(38 meetings)
20
18
Laich
Stepan
Last 10: Laich 6-4 Stepan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
5
8
Laich
Stepan
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Laich
8
1
Laich
Stepan
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stepan
7
9
Laich
Stepan
16 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Laich
Stepan
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (2,075)
46.5% (10,204)
+0.9%
Power Play
53.3% (270)
48.8% (1,593)
+4.5%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (636)
44.2% (1,368)
-1.3%
On power play, Laich has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stepan shoots right. Laich is 46.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,120).
Laich shoots left. Stepan is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (9,190).
Home / Away
Laich
Stepan
Home
49.0% (1,394)
47.6% (6,608)
Away
45.3% (1,615)
45.5% (6,573)
By Period
Laich
Stepan
P1
46.6%
47.5%
P2
44.1%
45.6%
P3
50.3%
46.8%
OT
51.6%
40.7%
Final 5 min
42.9%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Laich
48.0%▲
44.5%
47.0%
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
46.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2016 | 3 | 03:03 | Defensive | Brooks Laich |
| Dec 20, 2015 | 2 | 04:13 | Offensive | Brooks Laich |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 3 | 13:51 | Neutral | Brooks Laich |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 3 | 12:55 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 2 | 17:18 | Defensive | Brooks Laich |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 1 | 14:04 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 1 | 06:16 | Defensive | Brooks Laich |
| Mar 11, 2015 | 2 | 11:12 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 23, 2014 | 3 | 14:35 | Defensive | Brooks Laich |
| Dec 23, 2014 | 2 | 12:00 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 19, 2014 | 2 | 16:49 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 19, 2014 | 1 | 19:21 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 19, 2014 | 1 | 12:17 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 16, 2013 | 3 | 19:00 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 16, 2013 | 3 | 08:22 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 16, 2013 | 1 | 12:36 | Offensive | Brooks Laich |
| Mar 24, 2013 | 1 | 17:56 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 24, 2013 | 1 | 17:31 | Defensive | Brooks Laich |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 1 | 00:29 | Offensive | Brooks Laich |
| Feb 12, 2012 | 2 | 04:35 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |