Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Pavelski on offensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 11 meetings). Laich wins 46.2% vs right-shot opponents — Pavelski shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Laich 47.1% vs Pavelski 54.1% (-7.2%)
H2H factor
Pavelski leads 14-11 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Laich 57.9%
Defensive zone
Laich 75.0%
Neutral zone
Laich 68.1%
Result
Brooks Laich favored at 65.3%
65.3%
34.7%
Laich
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
14
(25 meetings)
11
14
Laich
Pavelski
Last 10: Laich 4-6 Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
3
8
Laich
Pavelski
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Laich
4
2
Laich
Pavelski
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
Laich
Pavelski
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Laich
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (2,075)
53.6% (8,791)
-6.2%
Power Play
53.3% (270)
58.2% (2,122)
-4.9%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (636)
50.9% (1,138)
-8.0%
On penalty kill, Pavelski has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Laich is 46.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,120).
Laich shoots left. Pavelski is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (9,103).
Home / Away
Laich
Pavelski
Home
49.0% (1,394)
56.4% (5,998)
Away
45.3% (1,615)
52.0% (6,076)
By Period
Laich
Pavelski
P1
46.6%
53.5%
P2
44.1%
55.2%
P3
50.3%
53.9%
OT
51.6%
52.3%
Final 5 min
42.9%
54.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Laich
48.0%▲
44.5%
47.0%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2017 | 2 | 10:39 | Defensive | Brooks Laich |
| Oct 13, 2015 | 1 | 10:41 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Oct 13, 2015 | 1 | 04:34 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 11, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brooks Laich |
| Oct 14, 2014 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Oct 14, 2014 | 3 | 18:46 | Defensive | Brooks Laich |
| Oct 14, 2014 | 2 | 09:12 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Oct 14, 2014 | 1 | 02:38 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 14, 2014 | 3 | 12:38 | Offensive | Brooks Laich |
| Jan 14, 2014 | 3 | 10:09 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 13, 2012 | 2 | 10:03 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 13, 2012 | 2 | 02:29 | Offensive | Brooks Laich |
| Feb 13, 2012 | 1 | 10:15 | Offensive | Brooks Laich |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 3 | 11:38 | Neutral | Brooks Laich |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 3 | 11:18 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 3 | 04:23 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 1 | 19:35 | Neutral | Brooks Laich |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 1 | 17:01 | Defensive | Brooks Laich |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 1 | 16:57 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 1 | 08:48 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |