Scouting Report
Bryan Little holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Rolston on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Rolston wins 43.5% vs right-shot opponents — Little shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rolston 43.4% vs Little 46.5% (-7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Little 64.9%
Defensive zone
Little 72.9%
Neutral zone
Little 53.1%
Result
Bryan Little favored at 62.6%
37.4%
62.6%
Rolston
Little
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Rolston
Little
Last 5: Rolston 4-1 Little
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rolston
3
1
Rolston
Little
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rolston
1
0
Rolston
Little
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rolston
Little
Edge
Even Strength
35.0% (80)
46.6% (982)
-11.6%
Power Play
63.6% (11)
52.4% (166)
+11.2%
Penalty Kill
39.5% (43)
37.6% (170)
+1.9%
On even strength, Little has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Little shoots right. Rolston is 43.5% vs right-shot opponents (46).
Rolston shoots left. Little is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (887).
Home / Away
Rolston
Little
Home
36.6% (71)
48.6% (623)
Away
40.6% (64)
44.2% (708)
By Period
Rolston
Little
P1
35.1%
46.3%
P2
38.0%
44.2%
P3
42.2%
48.1%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
43.2%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rolston
50.0%▲
42.5%
38.5%
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2011 | 1 | 03:13 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Dec 18, 2010 | 3 | 18:26 | Offensive | Brian Rolston |
| Dec 18, 2010 | 3 | 09:17 | Offensive | Brian Rolston |
| Dec 18, 2010 | 2 | 18:19 | Offensive | Brian Rolston |
| Dec 18, 2010 | 1 | 08:50 | Neutral | Brian Rolston |