Scouting Report
Chris Kelly holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Kelly on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Little wins 46.4% vs left-shot opponents — Kelly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Little 46.5% vs Kelly 50.8% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Little 75.7%
Defensive zone
Little 63.6%
Neutral zone
Little 63.2%
Result
Bryan Little favored at 67.0%
67.0%
33.0%
Little
Kelly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Little
Kelly
Last 7: Little 1-6 Kelly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Little
Kelly
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
0
3
Little
Kelly
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kelly
0
2
Little
Kelly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Little
Kelly
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (982)
51.9% (723)
-5.3%
Power Play
52.4% (166)
54.2% (24)
-1.8%
Penalty Kill
37.6% (170)
46.4% (166)
-8.8%
On penalty kill, Kelly has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kelly shoots left. Little is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (887).
Little shoots right. Kelly is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (311).
Home / Away
Little
Kelly
Home
48.6% (623)
53.8% (442)
Away
44.2% (708)
48.1% (474)
By Period
Little
Kelly
P1
46.3%
50.2%
P2
44.2%
47.6%
P3
48.1%
54.5%
OT
50.0%
85.7%
Final 5 min
48.9%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
46.3%
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2011 | 1 | 05:36 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Dec 13, 2010 | OT | 00:42 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Dec 13, 2010 | 3 | 19:13 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Dec 13, 2010 | 3 | 16:56 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Dec 13, 2010 | 3 | 16:19 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Dec 13, 2010 | 3 | 05:48 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Dec 13, 2010 | 3 | 05:31 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |