Scouting Report
Chris Kelly holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Little on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Little 49.6% vs Kelly 51.6% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Little 52.0%
Defensive zone
Kelly 67.4%
Neutral zone
Kelly 56.2%
Result
Chris Kelly favored at 57.6%
42.4%
57.6%
Little
Kelly
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Little
Kelly
Last 9: Little 6-3 Kelly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Little
Kelly
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Little
3
1
Little
Kelly
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Little
1
0
Little
Kelly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Little
Kelly
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (1,089)
51.3% (686)
-1.5%
Power Play
51.4% (218)
69.2% (26)
-17.8%
Penalty Kill
45.6% (149)
50.0% (92)
-4.4%
On power play, Kelly has a +17.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kelly shoots left. Little is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (985).
Little shoots right. Kelly is 50.8% vs right-shot opponents (248).
Home / Away
Little
Kelly
Home
52.9% (681)
52.3% (388)
Away
46.7% (798)
51.3% (421)
By Period
Little
Kelly
P1
49.9%
50.0%
P2
49.2%
51.7%
P3
49.7%
53.0%
OT
48.0%
61.5%
Final 5 min
48.5%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
49.6%
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2012 | 3 | 17:33 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Feb 17, 2012 | 3 | 07:45 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Feb 17, 2012 | 1 | 19:14 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Feb 17, 2012 | 1 | 11:54 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Jan 10, 2012 | 2 | 03:05 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Dec 6, 2011 | 3 | 04:50 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Dec 6, 2011 | 2 | 05:17 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Nov 26, 2011 | 2 | 04:43 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Nov 26, 2011 | 1 | 05:24 | Offensive | Bryan Little |