Scouting Report
Bryan Little holds a +11.1% FO% edge overall. Little wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Kelly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Little 55.1% vs Kelly 45.4% (+11.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Little 60.7%
Defensive zone
Kelly 55.5%
Neutral zone
Kelly 50.8%
Result
Chris Kelly favored at 50.4%
49.6%
50.4%
Little
Kelly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Little
Kelly
Last 5: Little 2-3 Kelly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
0
1
Little
Kelly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Little
Kelly
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Little
Kelly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Little
Kelly
Edge
Even Strength
57.3% (847)
47.5% (373)
+9.8%
Penalty Kill
36.7% (90)
35.9% (128)
+0.8%
On even strength, Little has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kelly shoots left. Little is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (776).
Little shoots right. Kelly is 49.0% vs right-shot opponents (202).
Home / Away
Little
Kelly
Home
56.7% (575)
47.5% (259)
Away
54.4% (522)
41.3% (242)
By Period
Little
Kelly
P1
55.4%
46.7%
P2
53.9%
42.9%
P3
57.6%
43.4%
Final 5 min
56.9%
42.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
55.6%
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2017 | 1 | 02:29 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Feb 19, 2017 | 3 | 01:37 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Feb 19, 2017 | 2 | 10:40 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Feb 19, 2017 | 1 | 11:33 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Feb 19, 2017 | 1 | 07:57 | Neutral | Bryan Little |