Scouting Report
Bryan Little holds a +10.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Little on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Little 51.2% vs McDavid 42.5% (+10.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Little 80.8%
Defensive zone
Little 86.6%
Neutral zone
Little 83.7%
Result
Bryan Little favored at 83.7%
83.7%
16.3%
Little
McDavid
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Little
McDavid
Last 9: Little 7-2 McDavid
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Little
2
1
Little
McDavid
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Little
3
0
Little
McDavid
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Little
2
1
Little
McDavid
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Little
McDavid
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (895)
40.7% (578)
+9.9%
Power Play
61.6% (216)
56.3% (16)
+5.3%
Penalty Kill
43.3% (203)
50.0% (10)
-6.7%
On even strength, Little has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McDavid shoots left. Little is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (851).
Little shoots right. McDavid is 40.2% vs right-shot opponents (241).
Home / Away
Little
McDavid
Home
51.6% (628)
42.7% (323)
Away
51.0% (686)
39.5% (281)
By Period
Little
McDavid
P1
52.0%
42.3%
P2
49.3%
37.3%
P3
53.0%
43.4%
OT
38.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.6%
36.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
51.3%
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
41.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2016 | OT | 04:58 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Feb 13, 2016 | OT | 02:36 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Feb 13, 2016 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 13, 2016 | 3 | 00:18 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Feb 13, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Feb 13, 2016 | 2 | 15:09 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Feb 13, 2016 | 2 | 06:59 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 13, 2016 | 1 | 14:13 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Feb 13, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bryan Little |