Scouting Report
Bryan Little holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Little on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Little 50.6% vs McDavid 47.8% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Little leads 18-12 in 30 meetings
Offensive zone
Little 50.7%
Defensive zone
Little 67.9%
Neutral zone
Little 67.7%
Result
Bryan Little favored at 62.7%
62.7%
37.3%
Little
McDavid
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
12
(30 meetings)
18
12
Little
McDavid
Last 10: Little 5-5 McDavid
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Little
6
3
Little
McDavid
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Little
6
3
Little
McDavid
9 total
Neutral Zone
Even
6
6
Little
McDavid
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Little
McDavid
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (8,646)
47.7% (8,358)
+3.2%
Power Play
55.5% (1,593)
52.0% (371)
+3.5%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (1,406)
43.4% (279)
+0.1%
On power play, Little has a +3.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McDavid shoots left. Little is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (7,844).
Little shoots right. McDavid is 47.9% vs right-shot opponents (3,105).
Home / Away
Little
McDavid
Home
52.9% (5,664)
49.3% (4,570)
Away
48.6% (6,017)
46.1% (4,438)
By Period
Little
McDavid
P1
50.9%
46.5%
P2
49.6%
48.7%
P3
51.5%
48.3%
OT
49.1%
40.9%
Final 5 min
51.1%
50.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.7%
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2018 | 2 | 18:32 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 31, 2018 | 2 | 00:29 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Dec 13, 2018 | 3 | 19:55 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Dec 13, 2018 | 3 | 13:27 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Dec 13, 2018 | 1 | 06:57 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 13, 2018 | 1 | 03:05 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 13, 2018 | 1 | 02:56 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 31, 2017 | 3 | 03:30 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Dec 31, 2017 | 2 | 12:34 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Dec 31, 2017 | 2 | 09:35 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 11, 2016 | 3 | 00:45 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 11, 2016 | 2 | 14:26 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 11, 2016 | 2 | 03:23 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 11, 2016 | 2 | 03:06 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 11, 2016 | 1 | 16:19 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 11, 2016 | 1 | 03:18 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Dec 11, 2016 | 1 | 01:19 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Dec 1, 2016 | 1 | 12:47 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Dec 1, 2016 | 1 | 10:14 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Dec 1, 2016 | 1 | 02:31 | Neutral | Bryan Little |