Scouting Report
Derek Grant holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Grant on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Little wins 46.0% vs left-shot opponents — Grant shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Little 47.6% vs Grant 51.4% (-6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Little 83.3%
Defensive zone
Grant 72.9%
Neutral zone
Little 64.0%
Result
Bryan Little favored at 55.2%
55.2%
44.8%
Little
Grant
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Little
Grant
Last 6: Little 2-4 Grant
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Little
2
1
Little
Grant
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grant
0
3
Little
Grant
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Little
Grant
Edge
Even Strength
46.0% (87)
51.7% (480)
-5.7%
Power Play
60.0% (10)
63.0% (54)
-3.0%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (9)
47.5% (160)
-25.3%
On penalty kill, Grant has a +25.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Grant shoots left. Little is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (87).
Little shoots right. Grant is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (266).
Home / Away
Little
Grant
Home
50.0% (48)
54.8% (334)
Away
41.4% (58)
48.6% (360)
By Period
Little
Grant
P1
42.1%
54.7%
P2
42.4%
46.1%
P3
50.0%
54.2%
OT
60.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
33.3%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
45.3%
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2019 | 3 | 14:30 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Oct 29, 2019 | 3 | 08:18 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Oct 29, 2019 | 2 | 13:50 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Oct 29, 2019 | 2 | 08:58 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Oct 29, 2019 | 1 | 18:34 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Oct 29, 2019 | 1 | 08:28 | Defensive | Derek Grant |