Scouting Report
Derek Grant holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Grant on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Little 50.6% vs Grant 52.2% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Grant leads 10-4 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Little 78.6%
Defensive zone
Grant 61.8%
Neutral zone
Little 52.7%
Result
Bryan Little favored at 54.7%
54.7%
45.3%
Little
Grant
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
10
(14 meetings)
4
10
Little
Grant
Last 10: Little 3-7 Grant
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Little
4
1
Little
Grant
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grant
0
7
Little
Grant
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Grant
0
2
Little
Grant
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Little
Grant
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (8,646)
53.7% (2,864)
-2.8%
Power Play
55.5% (1,593)
61.7% (175)
-6.2%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (1,406)
46.0% (922)
-2.5%
On power play, Grant has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Grant shoots left. Little is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (7,844).
Little shoots right. Grant is 54.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,349).
Home / Away
Little
Grant
Home
52.9% (5,664)
54.3% (1,956)
Away
48.6% (6,017)
50.2% (2,005)
By Period
Little
Grant
P1
50.9%
51.1%
P2
49.6%
51.5%
P3
51.5%
54.3%
OT
49.1%
35.7%
Final 5 min
51.1%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.7%
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2019 | 3 | 14:30 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Oct 29, 2019 | 3 | 08:18 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Oct 29, 2019 | 2 | 13:50 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Oct 29, 2019 | 2 | 08:58 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Oct 29, 2019 | 1 | 18:34 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Oct 29, 2019 | 1 | 08:28 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Feb 2, 2019 | 3 | 10:59 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Feb 2, 2019 | 1 | 05:55 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Nov 27, 2018 | 2 | 08:44 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Mar 23, 2018 | 2 | 12:57 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Mar 23, 2018 | 1 | 17:48 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Nov 24, 2017 | 2 | 17:27 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Nov 24, 2017 | 1 | 07:20 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Nov 24, 2017 | 1 | 00:23 | Neutral | Derek Grant |