Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.3% vs 46.4%). Look for Roy on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Little wins 46.4% vs left-shot opponents — Roy shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Little 46.5% vs Roy 47.0% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roy 52.0%
Defensive zone
Little 70.9%
Neutral zone
Little 60.6%
Result
Bryan Little favored at 60.7%
60.7%
39.3%
Little
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Little
Roy
Last 9: Little 3-6 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
0
4
Little
Roy
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Little
3
2
Little
Roy
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Little
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (982)
43.9% (380)
+2.7%
Power Play
52.4% (166)
52.8% (106)
-0.4%
Penalty Kill
37.6% (170)
55.3% (38)
-17.7%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +17.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots left. Little is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (887).
Little shoots right. Roy is 48.7% vs right-shot opponents (228).
Home / Away
Little
Roy
Home
48.6% (623)
51.6% (283)
Away
44.2% (708)
40.4% (245)
By Period
Little
Roy
P1
46.3%
47.8%
P2
44.2%
41.1%
P3
48.1%
49.7%
OT
50.0%
41.7%
Final 5 min
48.9%
42.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
46.3%
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2010 | 1 | 00:23 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Oct 29, 2010 | 1 | 00:18 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Oct 20, 2010 | 3 | 10:16 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Oct 20, 2010 | 3 | 01:08 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Oct 20, 2010 | 2 | 17:19 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Oct 20, 2010 | 2 | 14:57 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Oct 20, 2010 | 1 | 17:03 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Oct 20, 2010 | 1 | 16:55 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Oct 20, 2010 | 1 | 06:26 | Offensive | Derek Roy |