Scouting Report
Bryan Little holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on offensive-zone draws (76% H2H, 21 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Little 50.6% vs Roy 47.4% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Roy leads 25-21 in 46 meetings
Offensive zone
Roy 64.2%
Defensive zone
Roy 56.2%
Neutral zone
Roy 56.1%
Result
Derek Roy favored at 59.9%
40.1%
59.9%
Little
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
21
-
25
(46 meetings)
21
25
Little
Roy
Last 10: Little 3-7 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
5
16
Little
Roy
21 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Little
11
5
Little
Roy
16 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Little
5
4
Little
Roy
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Little
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (8,646)
46.4% (3,031)
+4.5%
Power Play
55.5% (1,593)
53.6% (560)
+1.9%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (1,406)
46.8% (267)
-3.3%
On even strength, Little has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots left. Little is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (7,844).
Little shoots right. Roy is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,417).
Home / Away
Little
Roy
Home
52.9% (5,664)
49.5% (1,982)
Away
48.6% (6,017)
45.1% (1,897)
By Period
Little
Roy
P1
50.9%
47.6%
P2
49.6%
46.2%
P3
51.5%
48.5%
OT
49.1%
43.1%
Final 5 min
51.1%
47.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.7%
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2015 | 3 | 15:14 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Feb 16, 2015 | 3 | 07:52 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Feb 16, 2015 | 3 | 00:21 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Feb 16, 2015 | 2 | 04:03 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Nov 15, 2014 | 3 | 14:26 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Nov 15, 2014 | 2 | 06:57 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Nov 15, 2014 | 1 | 19:10 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Nov 15, 2014 | 1 | 02:22 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Nov 4, 2014 | 3 | 17:11 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Nov 4, 2014 | 2 | 15:10 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Oct 17, 2014 | 3 | 18:53 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Oct 17, 2014 | 3 | 12:35 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Oct 17, 2014 | 3 | 07:31 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Mar 17, 2014 | 2 | 06:37 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Feb 8, 2014 | 3 | 19:14 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Feb 8, 2014 | 1 | 18:47 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Feb 8, 2014 | 1 | 17:38 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Feb 8, 2014 | 1 | 08:31 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Feb 8, 2014 | 1 | 07:24 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Dec 10, 2013 | 3 | 16:52 | Offensive | Derek Roy |