Scouting Report
Bryan Little holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Little on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Little 51.2% vs Stepan 47.0% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Little 71.3%
Defensive zone
Little 68.0%
Neutral zone
Little 74.5%
Result
Bryan Little favored at 70.7%
70.7%
29.3%
Little
Stepan
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Little
Stepan
Last 6: Little 5-1 Stepan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Little
1
0
Little
Stepan
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Little
2
1
Little
Stepan
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Little
2
0
Little
Stepan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Little
Stepan
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (895)
46.6% (889)
+4.0%
Power Play
61.6% (216)
46.9% (113)
+14.7%
Penalty Kill
43.3% (203)
47.5% (101)
-4.2%
On power play, Little has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stepan shoots right. Little is 52.7% vs right-shot opponents (463).
Little shoots right. Stepan is 43.4% vs right-shot opponents (318).
Home / Away
Little
Stepan
Home
51.6% (628)
47.7% (555)
Away
51.0% (686)
45.6% (548)
By Period
Little
Stepan
P1
52.0%
46.4%
P2
49.3%
45.7%
P3
53.0%
48.5%
OT
38.5%
35.3%
Final 5 min
49.6%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
51.3%
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
46.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2015 | 3 | 09:52 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Dec 18, 2015 | 3 | 00:23 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Dec 18, 2015 | 2 | 19:53 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 18, 2015 | 2 | 03:51 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Oct 13, 2015 | 2 | 02:11 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Oct 13, 2015 | 1 | 17:12 | Neutral | Bryan Little |