Scouting Report
Bryan Little holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Little on defensive-zone draws (68% H2H, 31 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Little 50.6% vs Stepan 46.6% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Little leads 60-38 in 98 meetings
Offensive zone
Little 65.1%
Defensive zone
Little 64.6%
Neutral zone
Little 70.5%
Result
Bryan Little favored at 66.8%
66.8%
33.2%
Little
Stepan
Head-to-Head Record
60
-
38
(98 meetings)
60
38
Little
Stepan
Last 10: Little 8-2 Stepan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Little
18
15
Little
Stepan
33 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Little
21
10
Little
Stepan
31 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Little
21
13
Little
Stepan
34 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Little
Stepan
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (8,646)
46.5% (10,204)
+4.4%
Power Play
55.5% (1,593)
48.8% (1,593)
+6.7%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (1,406)
44.2% (1,368)
-0.7%
On power play, Little has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stepan shoots right. Little is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (3,837).
Little shoots right. Stepan is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,991).
Home / Away
Little
Stepan
Home
52.9% (5,664)
47.6% (6,608)
Away
48.6% (6,017)
45.5% (6,573)
By Period
Little
Stepan
P1
50.9%
47.5%
P2
49.6%
45.6%
P3
51.5%
46.8%
OT
49.1%
40.7%
Final 5 min
51.1%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.7%
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
46.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2019 | 3 | 09:29 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Apr 6, 2019 | 2 | 07:48 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 24, 2019 | 3 | 19:23 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Feb 24, 2019 | 3 | 18:37 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Feb 24, 2019 | 3 | 15:43 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Feb 24, 2019 | 2 | 14:26 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Feb 24, 2019 | 1 | 08:21 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Oct 20, 2018 | 3 | 15:37 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 20, 2018 | 3 | 11:41 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Oct 20, 2018 | 1 | 08:58 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Feb 6, 2018 | 3 | 17:58 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 6, 2018 | 3 | 17:30 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Feb 6, 2018 | 3 | 16:08 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Feb 6, 2018 | 3 | 16:00 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 6, 2018 | 3 | 07:42 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 6, 2018 | 1 | 18:32 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Feb 6, 2018 | 1 | 10:12 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 6, 2018 | 1 | 07:00 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 6, 2018 | 1 | 03:35 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Feb 6, 2018 | 1 | 00:30 | Neutral | Bryan Little |