Scouting Report
Bryan Little holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Little on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Little wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Larkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Little 55.6% vs Larkin 49.9% (+6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Little 83.5%
Defensive zone
Little 76.4%
Neutral zone
Little 80.2%
Result
Bryan Little favored at 80.5%
80.5%
19.5%
Little
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Little
Larkin
Last 8: Little 6-2 Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Little
2
1
Little
Larkin
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Little
2
0
Little
Larkin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Little
2
1
Little
Larkin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Little
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (1,026)
48.5% (1,057)
+7.4%
Power Play
60.1% (158)
61.4% (140)
-1.3%
Penalty Kill
51.6% (122)
48.7% (117)
+2.9%
On even strength, Little has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Little is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (850).
Little shoots right. Larkin is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (503).
Home / Away
Little
Larkin
Home
58.6% (613)
51.4% (652)
Away
53.8% (693)
48.5% (662)
By Period
Little
Larkin
P1
54.4%
49.1%
P2
57.5%
52.0%
P3
56.6%
48.0%
OT
47.6%
52.6%
Final 5 min
55.4%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
56.0%
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2018 | 2 | 06:32 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Mar 2, 2018 | 2 | 06:25 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Mar 2, 2018 | 2 | 03:13 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Dec 5, 2017 | 3 | 05:19 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 5, 2017 | 3 | 05:16 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Dec 5, 2017 | 2 | 14:56 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Dec 5, 2017 | 1 | 15:24 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Dec 5, 2017 | 1 | 13:16 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |