Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Little on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Little 50.6% vs Larkin 52.7% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Little leads 12-4 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 76.5%
Defensive zone
Larkin 71.7%
Neutral zone
Larkin 69.8%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 73.6%
26.4%
73.6%
Little
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
4
(16 meetings)
12
4
Little
Larkin
Last 10: Little 8-2 Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Little
5
3
Little
Larkin
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Little
4
0
Little
Larkin
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Little
3
1
Little
Larkin
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Little
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (8,646)
51.7% (9,019)
-0.8%
Power Play
55.5% (1,593)
58.5% (2,125)
-3.0%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (1,406)
50.2% (1,122)
-6.7%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Little is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (7,844).
Little shoots right. Larkin is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (4,416).
Home / Away
Little
Larkin
Home
52.9% (5,664)
54.0% (6,238)
Away
48.6% (6,017)
51.3% (6,028)
By Period
Little
Larkin
P1
50.9%
52.7%
P2
49.6%
53.1%
P3
51.5%
52.1%
OT
49.1%
58.4%
Final 5 min
51.1%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.7%
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2019 | 2 | 18:14 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 11, 2019 | 2 | 09:16 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Jan 11, 2019 | 2 | 04:38 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Jan 11, 2019 | 1 | 18:06 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Oct 26, 2018 | 3 | 03:08 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 26, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Oct 26, 2018 | 2 | 08:01 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Mar 2, 2018 | 2 | 06:32 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Mar 2, 2018 | 2 | 06:25 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Mar 2, 2018 | 2 | 03:13 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Dec 5, 2017 | 3 | 05:19 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 5, 2017 | 3 | 05:16 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Dec 5, 2017 | 2 | 14:56 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Dec 5, 2017 | 1 | 15:24 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Dec 5, 2017 | 1 | 13:16 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 29, 2015 | 1 | 04:58 | Defensive | Bryan Little |