Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Little on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Little 52.3% vs Larkin 54.2% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 72.8%
Defensive zone
Larkin 74.3%
Neutral zone
Larkin 67.4%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 72.3%
27.7%
72.3%
Little
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Little
Larkin
Last 7: Little 5-2 Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Little
3
2
Little
Larkin
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Little
1
0
Little
Larkin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Little
1
0
Little
Larkin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Little
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (796)
52.9% (1,228)
+0.1%
Power Play
56.0% (116)
63.1% (214)
-7.1%
Penalty Kill
43.3% (90)
55.2% (145)
-11.9%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Little is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (676).
Little shoots right. Larkin is 60.0% vs right-shot opponents (502).
Home / Away
Little
Larkin
Home
53.6% (491)
55.8% (805)
Away
51.5% (511)
53.2% (782)
By Period
Little
Larkin
P1
55.4%
55.2%
P2
50.6%
53.3%
P3
52.1%
55.1%
OT
37.5%
51.7%
Final 5 min
57.9%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
52.5%
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2019 | 2 | 18:14 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 11, 2019 | 2 | 09:16 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Jan 11, 2019 | 2 | 04:38 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Jan 11, 2019 | 1 | 18:06 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Oct 26, 2018 | 3 | 03:08 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 26, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Oct 26, 2018 | 2 | 08:01 | Offensive | Bryan Little |