Scouting Report
Bryan Little holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Little on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Little 52.3% vs Malkin 46.1% (+6.8%)
H2H factor
Little leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Little 68.1%
Defensive zone
Little 90.2%
Neutral zone
Little 88.3%
Result
Bryan Little favored at 85.6%
85.6%
14.4%
Little
Malkin
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
3
(12 meetings)
9
3
Little
Malkin
Last 10: Little 9-1 Malkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Little
Malkin
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Little
Malkin
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Little
6
0
Little
Malkin
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Little
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (796)
46.2% (807)
+6.8%
Power Play
56.0% (116)
30.4% (23)
+25.6%
Penalty Kill
43.3% (90)
33.3% (3)
+10.0%
On power play, Little has a +25.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. Little is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (676).
Little shoots right. Malkin is 45.3% vs right-shot opponents (223).
Home / Away
Little
Malkin
Home
53.6% (491)
45.1% (450)
Away
51.5% (511)
46.4% (384)
By Period
Little
Malkin
P1
55.4%
48.2%
P2
50.6%
43.5%
P3
52.1%
46.0%
OT
37.5%
33.3%
Final 5 min
57.9%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
52.5%
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
45.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2019 | 3 | 17:09 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Jan 4, 2019 | 3 | 15:21 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Jan 4, 2019 | 3 | 00:49 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Jan 4, 2019 | 2 | 14:10 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Jan 4, 2019 | 1 | 06:24 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Nov 27, 2018 | 3 | 18:39 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 27, 2018 | 3 | 18:28 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Nov 27, 2018 | 2 | 00:39 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Nov 27, 2018 | 1 | 18:13 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Nov 27, 2018 | 1 | 06:27 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Nov 27, 2018 | 1 | 06:22 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 27, 2018 | 1 | 00:41 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |