Scouting Report
Bryan Little holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Malkin on offensive-zone draws (62% H2H, 21 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Little 50.6% vs Malkin 45.9% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Malkin leads 33-32 in 65 meetings
Offensive zone
Malkin 70.3%
Defensive zone
Little 59.8%
Neutral zone
Malkin 60.4%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 55.8%
44.2%
55.8%
Little
Malkin
Head-to-Head Record
32
-
33
(65 meetings)
32
33
Little
Malkin
Last 10: Little 9-1 Malkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
8
13
Little
Malkin
21 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Little
14
11
Little
Malkin
25 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Little
10
9
Little
Malkin
19 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Little
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (8,646)
45.6% (10,081)
+5.3%
Power Play
55.5% (1,593)
50.1% (668)
+5.4%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (1,406)
32.2% (59)
+11.3%
On penalty kill, Little has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. Little is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (7,844).
Little shoots right. Malkin is 43.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,557).
Home / Away
Little
Malkin
Home
52.9% (5,664)
47.6% (5,395)
Away
48.6% (6,017)
44.0% (5,436)
By Period
Little
Malkin
P1
50.9%
45.9%
P2
49.6%
46.2%
P3
51.5%
45.2%
OT
49.1%
49.0%
Final 5 min
51.1%
46.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.7%
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
45.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2019 | 3 | 17:09 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Jan 4, 2019 | 3 | 15:21 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Jan 4, 2019 | 3 | 00:49 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Jan 4, 2019 | 2 | 14:10 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Jan 4, 2019 | 1 | 06:24 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Nov 27, 2018 | 3 | 18:39 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 27, 2018 | 3 | 18:28 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Nov 27, 2018 | 2 | 00:39 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Nov 27, 2018 | 1 | 18:13 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Nov 27, 2018 | 1 | 06:27 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Nov 27, 2018 | 1 | 06:22 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 27, 2018 | 1 | 00:41 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 29, 2017 | 3 | 15:52 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 29, 2017 | 3 | 08:38 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Oct 26, 2017 | 3 | 16:04 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 26, 2017 | 3 | 13:45 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 26, 2017 | 3 | 10:42 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Oct 26, 2017 | 3 | 10:38 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 26, 2017 | 3 | 10:18 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 26, 2017 | 2 | 14:13 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |