Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Little on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Little wins 57.1% vs right-shot opponents — Spezza shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Little 51.1% vs Spezza 53.9% (-5.9%)
H2H factor
Little leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Spezza 64.9%
Defensive zone
Little 58.0%
Neutral zone
Spezza 50.5%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 52.1%
47.9%
52.1%
Little
Spezza
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
5
(11 meetings)
6
5
Little
Spezza
Last 10: Little 5-5 Spezza
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Little
2
1
Little
Spezza
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Little
2
1
Little
Spezza
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
2
3
Little
Spezza
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Little
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (628)
54.5% (88)
-3.4%
Power Play
52.5% (118)
75.0% (16)
-22.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (96)
53.3% (15)
-3.3%
On power play, Spezza has a +22.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. Little is 57.1% vs right-shot opponents (319).
Little shoots right. Spezza is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (59).
Home / Away
Little
Spezza
Home
51.4% (420)
62.2% (45)
Away
50.9% (422)
54.1% (74)
By Period
Little
Spezza
P1
50.4%
58.7%
P2
49.3%
64.1%
P3
53.8%
46.9%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.1%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
51.2%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
57.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2013 | 3 | 04:51 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 2 | 14:42 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 2 | 14:35 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 2 | 10:33 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 2 | 07:52 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 2 | 07:43 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 1 | 17:57 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 1 | 08:22 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bryan Little |