Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on offensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 44 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Little 50.6% vs Spezza 54.7% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Spezza leads 63-60 in 123 meetings
Offensive zone
Spezza 64.3%
Defensive zone
Little 57.5%
Neutral zone
Spezza 51.8%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 53.9%
46.1%
53.9%
Little
Spezza
Head-to-Head Record
60
-
63
(123 meetings)
60
63
Little
Spezza
Last 10: Little 6-4 Spezza
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
19
25
Little
Spezza
44 total
Defensive Zone
Even
16
16
Little
Spezza
32 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Little
25
22
Little
Spezza
47 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Little
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (8,646)
54.4% (7,990)
-3.5%
Power Play
55.5% (1,593)
56.8% (1,726)
-1.3%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (1,406)
52.7% (643)
-9.2%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. Little is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (3,837).
Little shoots right. Spezza is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,088).
Home / Away
Little
Spezza
Home
52.9% (5,664)
56.8% (5,066)
Away
48.6% (6,017)
52.7% (5,332)
By Period
Little
Spezza
P1
50.9%
55.7%
P2
49.6%
54.4%
P3
51.5%
54.1%
OT
49.1%
51.5%
Final 5 min
51.1%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.7%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2019 | 2 | 15:58 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 6, 2019 | 3 | 09:13 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Jan 6, 2019 | 3 | 01:15 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Jan 6, 2019 | 2 | 04:30 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Jan 6, 2019 | 1 | 01:48 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Oct 6, 2018 | 2 | 06:25 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Oct 6, 2018 | 1 | 12:24 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 24, 2018 | 3 | 04:58 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Feb 24, 2018 | 2 | 17:35 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 6, 2017 | 2 | 03:31 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 6, 2017 | 2 | 03:22 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 6, 2017 | 1 | 10:57 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 2, 2017 | 1 | 17:59 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Feb 14, 2017 | 3 | 14:53 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 14, 2017 | 1 | 18:24 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Feb 14, 2017 | 1 | 18:08 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Feb 2, 2016 | 2 | 18:50 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 2, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 2, 2016 | 1 | 10:32 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 7, 2016 | 3 | 10:16 | Neutral | Bryan Little |