Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Little 52.3% vs Spezza 57.3% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 83.2%
Defensive zone
Spezza 69.7%
Neutral zone
Spezza 67.7%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 74.9%
25.1%
74.9%
Little
Spezza
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Little
Spezza
Last 7: Little 5-2 Spezza
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
1
2
Little
Spezza
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Little
2
0
Little
Spezza
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Little
2
0
Little
Spezza
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Little
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (796)
58.0% (697)
-5.0%
Power Play
56.0% (116)
60.0% (105)
-4.0%
Penalty Kill
43.3% (90)
60.0% (5)
-16.7%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. Little is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (326).
Little shoots right. Spezza is 58.3% vs right-shot opponents (216).
Home / Away
Little
Spezza
Home
53.6% (491)
58.2% (376)
Away
51.5% (511)
58.2% (431)
By Period
Little
Spezza
P1
55.4%
63.3%
P2
50.6%
54.9%
P3
52.1%
57.4%
OT
37.5%
33.3%
Final 5 min
57.9%
57.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
52.5%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
58.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2019 | 2 | 15:58 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 6, 2019 | 3 | 09:13 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Jan 6, 2019 | 3 | 01:15 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Jan 6, 2019 | 2 | 04:30 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Jan 6, 2019 | 1 | 01:48 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Oct 6, 2018 | 2 | 06:25 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Oct 6, 2018 | 1 | 12:24 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |