Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Little wins 45.9% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Little 46.5% vs Carter 54.0% (-8.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Little 77.1%
Defensive zone
Little 77.4%
Neutral zone
Little 76.2%
Result
Bryan Little favored at 76.8%
76.8%
23.2%
Little
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Little
Carter
Last 5: Little 1-4 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Little
Carter
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
1
Little
Carter
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
0
2
Little
Carter
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Little
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (982)
56.2% (445)
-9.6%
Power Play
52.4% (166)
54.4% (114)
-2.0%
Penalty Kill
37.6% (170)
37.5% (40)
+0.1%
On even strength, Carter has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Little is 45.9% vs right-shot opponents (444).
Little shoots right. Carter is 59.3% vs right-shot opponents (204).
Home / Away
Little
Carter
Home
48.6% (623)
55.0% (291)
Away
44.2% (708)
54.5% (314)
By Period
Little
Carter
P1
46.3%
57.2%
P2
44.2%
46.6%
P3
48.1%
58.0%
OT
50.0%
77.8%
Final 5 min
48.9%
57.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
46.3%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 17, 2011 | 2 | 18:49 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Mar 12, 2011 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 14, 2011 | 1 | 19:23 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 14, 2011 | 1 | 19:00 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |