Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 21 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Little 50.6% vs Carter 53.2% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Carter leads 33-31 in 64 meetings
Offensive zone
Carter 50.8%
Defensive zone
Carter 52.3%
Neutral zone
Carter 50.8%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 51.3%
48.7%
51.3%
Little
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
31
-
33
(64 meetings)
31
33
Little
Carter
Last 10: Little 7-3 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Little
12
11
Little
Carter
23 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
7
14
Little
Carter
21 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Little
12
8
Little
Carter
20 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Little
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (8,646)
53.3% (8,728)
-2.4%
Power Play
55.5% (1,593)
57.3% (1,554)
-1.8%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (1,406)
46.3% (1,087)
-2.8%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Little is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (3,837).
Little shoots right. Carter is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (3,429).
Home / Away
Little
Carter
Home
52.9% (5,664)
54.7% (5,752)
Away
48.6% (6,017)
51.6% (5,632)
By Period
Little
Carter
P1
50.9%
53.6%
P2
49.6%
52.8%
P3
51.5%
53.1%
OT
49.1%
56.5%
Final 5 min
51.1%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.7%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2019 | 3 | 16:12 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Mar 18, 2019 | 3 | 13:05 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 18, 2019 | 1 | 14:29 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Mar 18, 2019 | 1 | 04:56 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Dec 18, 2018 | 3 | 08:26 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Dec 18, 2018 | 1 | 07:13 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Mar 23, 2017 | 3 | 09:09 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Mar 23, 2017 | 3 | 04:45 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 23, 2017 | 2 | 16:25 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Mar 23, 2017 | 2 | 16:00 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 23, 2017 | 2 | 04:39 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Jan 14, 2017 | 2 | 15:25 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Jan 14, 2017 | 2 | 05:46 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 14, 2017 | 2 | 02:35 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Jan 14, 2017 | 1 | 17:16 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 14, 2017 | 1 | 17:11 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 14, 2017 | 1 | 15:32 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Jan 14, 2017 | 1 | 11:23 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 27, 2015 | 3 | 15:19 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 27, 2015 | 3 | 15:12 | Offensive | Bryan Little |