Scouting Report
Bryan Little holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Little 52.3% vs Carter 51.2% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 54.3%
Defensive zone
Carter 59.5%
Neutral zone
Carter 57.3%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 56.5%
43.5%
56.5%
Little
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Little
Carter
Last 5: Little 4-1 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Little
Carter
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Little
1
0
Little
Carter
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Little
2
0
Little
Carter
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Little
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (796)
49.9% (935)
+3.1%
Power Play
56.0% (116)
61.8% (157)
-5.8%
Penalty Kill
43.3% (90)
46.7% (92)
-3.4%
On power play, Carter has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Little is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (326).
Little shoots right. Carter is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (330).
Home / Away
Little
Carter
Home
53.6% (491)
52.4% (638)
Away
51.5% (511)
50.0% (546)
By Period
Little
Carter
P1
55.4%
49.6%
P2
50.6%
50.9%
P3
52.1%
53.0%
OT
37.5%
58.3%
Final 5 min
57.9%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
52.5%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2019 | 3 | 13:05 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 18, 2019 | 1 | 14:29 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Mar 18, 2019 | 1 | 04:56 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Dec 18, 2018 | 3 | 08:26 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Dec 18, 2018 | 1 | 07:13 | Offensive | Bryan Little |