Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Pavelski on offensive-zone draws (74% H2H, 23 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Little 50.6% vs Pavelski 54.1% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Pavelski leads 41-25 in 66 meetings
Offensive zone
Little 75.7%
Defensive zone
Little 72.7%
Neutral zone
Little 71.4%
Result
Bryan Little favored at 73.3%
73.3%
26.7%
Little
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
25
-
41
(66 meetings)
25
41
Little
Pavelski
Last 10: Little 4-6 Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
6
17
Little
Pavelski
23 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
10
11
Little
Pavelski
21 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pavelski
9
13
Little
Pavelski
22 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Little
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (8,646)
53.6% (8,791)
-2.7%
Power Play
55.5% (1,593)
58.2% (2,122)
-2.7%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (1,406)
50.9% (1,138)
-7.4%
On penalty kill, Pavelski has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Little is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (3,837).
Little shoots right. Pavelski is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (2,971).
Home / Away
Little
Pavelski
Home
52.9% (5,664)
56.4% (5,998)
Away
48.6% (6,017)
52.0% (6,076)
By Period
Little
Pavelski
P1
50.9%
53.5%
P2
49.6%
55.2%
P3
51.5%
53.9%
OT
49.1%
52.3%
Final 5 min
51.1%
54.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.7%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2019 | 2 | 19:54 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 5, 2019 | 2 | 19:01 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Dec 20, 2018 | 3 | 04:21 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 20, 2018 | 3 | 04:12 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Dec 20, 2018 | 3 | 00:41 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 20, 2018 | 2 | 19:27 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Dec 20, 2018 | 2 | 16:15 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Dec 20, 2018 | 2 | 10:43 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 20, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 20, 2018 | 1 | 18:40 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 20, 2018 | 1 | 14:14 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Dec 20, 2018 | 1 | 04:22 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 20, 2018 | 1 | 00:51 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 20, 2018 | 1 | 00:38 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 23, 2018 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 23, 2018 | 3 | 08:01 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Jan 23, 2018 | 3 | 03:15 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 23, 2018 | 3 | 03:08 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 23, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Jan 23, 2018 | 2 | 10:10 | Neutral | Bryan Little |