Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.7% vs 51.0%). Look for Little on offensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Little 50.6% vs Mitchell 51.0% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Little leads 12-8 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Little 56.4%
Defensive zone
Mitchell 66.3%
Neutral zone
Mitchell 54.6%
Result
John Mitchell favored at 51.5%
48.5%
51.5%
Little
Mitchell
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
8
(20 meetings)
12
8
Little
Mitchell
Last 10: Little 7-3 Mitchell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Little
8
3
Little
Mitchell
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mitchell
1
4
Little
Mitchell
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Little
3
1
Little
Mitchell
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Little
Mitchell
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (8,646)
51.8% (2,965)
-0.9%
Power Play
55.5% (1,593)
54.1% (196)
+1.4%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (1,406)
44.1% (401)
-0.6%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mitchell shoots left. Little is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (7,844).
Little shoots right. Mitchell is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,264).
Home / Away
Little
Mitchell
Home
52.9% (5,664)
54.4% (1,806)
Away
48.6% (6,017)
47.6% (1,756)
By Period
Little
Mitchell
P1
50.9%
52.0%
P2
49.6%
49.9%
P3
51.5%
50.9%
OT
49.1%
69.2%
Final 5 min
51.1%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.7%
Mitchell
66.0%▲
56.5%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2017 | 2 | 15:37 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Feb 6, 2016 | 2 | 18:57 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Feb 6, 2016 | 2 | 06:20 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Feb 6, 2016 | 1 | 18:33 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Jan 18, 2016 | 3 | 11:28 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Jan 18, 2016 | 1 | 14:28 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Jan 18, 2016 | 1 | 05:51 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Feb 8, 2015 | 2 | 07:22 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Feb 8, 2015 | 1 | 03:10 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Oct 26, 2014 | OT | 02:49 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Oct 26, 2014 | 2 | 01:54 | Offensive | John Mitchell |
| Mar 10, 2014 | 3 | 12:35 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Mar 10, 2014 | 3 | 12:16 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Mar 10, 2014 | 3 | 10:43 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Mar 10, 2014 | 2 | 04:38 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Mar 10, 2014 | 1 | 00:36 | Offensive | John Mitchell |
| Dec 12, 2013 | 1 | 19:41 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Oct 27, 2013 | 2 | 14:53 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Mar 28, 2012 | 2 | 03:58 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Dec 20, 2010 | 2 | 03:22 | Offensive | John Mitchell |